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Hope and uncertainty - ag economists predict 2024 challenges

Hope and uncertainty - ag economists predict 2024 challenges


By Blake Jackson

As 2023 draws to a close, ag economists are peering into the crystal ball of 2024, a year potentially fraught with challenges but also glimmers of hope for global agriculture. A recent survey by the University of Missouri and Farm Journal reveals their key areas of concern and cautious optimism. 

Storm clouds on the horizon: 

  • Economic volatility: Corn prices and yields, inflation, and beef imports are top of mind for economists, with the potential for significant fluctuations impacting the agricultural landscape. 
  • Geopolitical tremors: The ongoing war in Ukraine continues to cast a long shadow, with its ripple effects potentially disrupting trade flows and fueling market uncertainties. 

Silver linings amidst the clouds: 

  • Domestic growth potential: Economists see promising opportunities in domestic soybean crushing, renewable fuel production, and the development of sustainable jet fuel. 
  • Competitive edge: U.S. commodities could hold a competitive advantage in global markets thanks to favorable pricing. 
  • Resilient farms: Despite concerns, many farms are in good shape, boasting strong balance sheets and improved conditions, offering a buffer against potential economic headwinds. 

Overall, the outlook for 2024 is a mixed bag, with both risks and rewards. While ag economists acknowledge potential challenges, they also identify areas of potential growth and resilience within the industry. The year ahead promises to be a dynamic one, demanding agility and adaptability from farmers and industry stakeholders alike. 

 

Photo Credit: university-of-missouri

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